Jeff Matthews

Apr 27, 20162 min

When Analysts Surrender

It’s bad enough
 

 
when analysts thank CEOs for letting them ask a question on an company earnings
 

 
call, at least when they do it in a way that goes beyond a simple act of politeness and more towards a cringe-making act of fawning, which too many analysts have a way of doing these days.

This is, after
 

 
all, a business: it’s an analyst’s job
 

 
to ask questions; it’s a CEO’s job to answer them. Get on with it.

What’s worse,
 

 
however—much worse—is when an analyst who asks a good question gets schmoozed by
 

 
the CEO, and instead of following up and getting an answer, surrenders.

It happened
 

 
tonight on the Apple call.

After thanking the
 

 
company for “fitting me in” (really?) the analyst asked Tim Cook—all quotes are from the
 

 
indispensable Seeking Alpha—a very reasonable question about the “top two
 

 
or three things” that had changed from the previous quarter, when Apple’s CEO
 

 
was way more bullish about the demand environment for iPhones than it turned
 

 
out to be.

Cook’s response
 

 
turned the question into a math equation:

“…we
 

 
did not contemplate or comprehend that we were going to make a $2 billion-plus
 

 
reduction in channel inventory during this quarter. And so if you factor that
 

 
in and look at true customer demand, which is the way that we look at it
 

 
internally, I think you’ll find a much more reasonable comparison.

The analyst jumped
 

 
on Cook for changing the subject—after all, he said, the fact that you decided
 

 
to cut $2 billion out of channel inventory must mean you had $2 billion more
 

 
product in the channel than you expected, which means “true customer demand,”
 

 
as Cook called it, was $2 billion weaker than plan, right?

Ha! We’re joking.

The analyst did no
 

 
such thing. He surrendered. “Okay, great. Thank you,” he said, and then asked a
 

 
softball follow-up.

Tim Cook took home
 

 
$10.3 million last year. He can handle
 

 
tough questions.

Personally, I’d
 

 
like to know why Cook—who gets on his high moral horse every time some
 

 
politically correct brushfire starts up somewhere in America—gives up without a
 

 
sound when the Chinese authorities demand the Apple Store stop carrying apps
 

 
involving the Dalai Lama.

We know the
 

 
answer: money.

Still, it would be
 

 
fun to ask.
 
But don’t hold your breath.
 

 

Jeff Matthews

I Am Not Making This Up


 
© 2016 NotMakingThisUp, LLC


 
The content contained in this blog represents only the
 

 
opinions of Mr. Matthews. Mr. Matthews
 

 
also acts as an advisor and clients advised by Mr. Matthews may hold either
 

 
long or short positions in securities of various companies discussed in the
 

 
blog based upon Mr. Matthews’ recommendations.
 
This commentary in no way constitutes investment advice, and should
 

 
never be relied on in making an investment decision, ever. Also, this blog is not a solicitation of business
 

 
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The content herein is intended solely for the entertainment of the
 

 
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